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"The U.S. dollar should have completely collapsed" by now, investor says

July 23, 2010

Our "political and monetary authorities have lost ALL credibility in the eyes of the world," he says

"The U.S. dollar should have completely collapsed versus many of the better managed and fundamentally sound currencies in the last year or so," writes investment adviser Michael Krieger of KAM LP in his article "A Major Inflection Point Is Upon Us."

"The United States political and monetary authorities have lost ALL credibility in the eyes of the world ever since the [2008-09 financial] crisis hit and for very good reason," Krieger writes. "The main reason we are still held on life support is so that China can go out and buy up all of the world's resources while the dollar still has value (and they allow us to bury ourselves) and we have a strong military. We can see the loss of credibility in the fact that we went to the G20 talking about more stimulus and were rebuffed. So when the crisis first hit all other nations defended our system and currency but now I think all nations are going to focus on what is best for them and believe me it will NOT be what is best for us.

"China has already slowed itself down materially to deal with its irresponsible housing bubble but based on comments recently from authorities it is clear that they are committed to stimulating domestic consumption. Furthermore, while the yuan has only strengthened slightly since they changed policy let's not forget that it HAS strengthened. While they are proceeding cautiously, this was a change of policy.

"So to summarize I see a world emerging over the next few months where other nations publicly talk a nice game about the U.S. and its importance but in reality talks will go on behind our back as to how to gracefully cut the cord. Any cutting of the cord would reflect itself in a decoupling trade in my view. Unfortunately, politicians in the U.S. will never admit that they are the reason we are in this mess. ... If you haven't learned that Washington D.C is not to be trusted by now I do not know what it will take."

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